Firstly, last years:
- The economy will grow by 2.5% to 3% this year. 1 point
- The opinion polls will end the year at 36% Tory, 35% Labour, 12% LibDem, 10% UKIP. 1/2 point (Tories and Labour are level pegging)
- The European elections will give Labour the lead, UKIP 2nd (just behind), Tories 3rd and LibDems 4th. 0 points, UKIP led and the LibDems did worse
- Lewis Hamilton will win the F1 World Championship. 1 point
- The Ferrari power plant will be bad, leading to Alonso ditching them and joining McLaren for 2015. 1 point
- Tony Blair will speak out against Ed Miliband's leadership. 1/2 point (he sort of did yesterday and backtracked today)
- Vince Cable will resign or be sacked (hopefully). 0 points, still hanging in there
- Peter Mandelson will do Strictly. 0 points
- Scotland will vote against independence. 1 point
- Gordon Brown will announce he's leaving parliament in 2015. 1 point
Overall 6 out of 10. Not bad this year, certainly better than last year!
Now for 2015 predictions.
- The economy will continue to recover, and will grow by 2.5% this year. Wages growth will really begin to outstrip inflation/
- The General Election will be close, final tally Tories 36%, Labour 31%, Lib Dems 10%, UKIP 12%.
- Tories and Lib Dems will form a second coalition.
- Lewis Hamilton will win the F1 World Championship again.
- Sebastien Vettel will not perform as well as Alonso at Ferrari, and Ferrari will end the year in greater turmoil with Raikkonen being sacked.
- Labour will have a leadership election with Chukka Umuna winning.
- Vince Cable will lose his seat in the election (hopefully)
- UKIP will gain 2 seats at the General Election, but Rochester & Strood will not be one of them. Douglas Carswell will be re-elected.
- Hilary Clinton, Jeb Bush and Rand Paul will all run for the US Presidential primaries.
- Nick Clegg will resign the leadership of the Lib Dems.
Ok, let's see what happens. The General Election is going to be the most unpredictable in generations, so most of the above could be wrong.
Squiffy.
