Thursday, 31 December 2009

A look at my 2009 predictions

It's the end of the year and so it is time to mark my predictions for the year. Here is what I said:

  1. There will be no general election in 2009. Although Gordon Brown will have been lining up a May/June election for seven months, the polls won't look good enough to risk it, and so GB will go until the last moment in 2010.
    CORRECT.
  2. The recession will last throughout 2009. CORRECT.
  3. Several other high street names will experience problems. I'm guessing at HMV, W.H.Smiths, and Robert Dyas. I just hope I'm wrong. OTHERS DID, BUT NOT THE ONES MENTIONED. HALF POINT.
  4. Interest rates will reduce to 0.5%, the CPI will also go down to 0.5%, and the RPI will briefly go negative. CORRECT.
  5. Robert Kubica will win the F1 World Championship. WRONG.
  6. A bad set of economic figures in the beginning of the year will signal a reversal to Labour's recovery, the polls will go back to a good Tory position of Con 45%, Lab 26%, LD 17% by year's end. CORRECT.
  7. Ken Clarke will come back as shadow Business secretary. CORRECT.
  8. David Blunkett will come back as Home Secretary. WRONG.
  9. The Tories will win the Local/Euro elections on a percentage share of 43%. Labour will get 22% with the LibDems at 26%. CORRECT, BUT FIGURES WRONG. HALF POINT.
  10. Peter Mandelson will be forced to resign over some business dealings as EU Comissioner. WRONG.


So, that's 6 points out of 10. Not bad. Tomorrow for my 2010 predictions.

Squiffy.

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