By opening the negotiations to Labour before the Tory negotiations have been complete has shown immaturity. He has now set in motion a sequence of events which will have a major negative effect on the Lib Dems and lead to a large Tory majority.
Firstly, the Tories had to respond quickly. They have just done so, with an open offer of a referendum of AV, but this is time limited and the last offer. I think this is a masterstroke by George Osborne. The Lib Dems have a very quick decision to make.
If they try to form a coalition with Labour, they may not succeed. But the one thing that will happen is that they will be severely punished. Either by a split or an election catastrophe. A second unelected Prime Minister without the winner of the election campaign will sign their death knell for years. They will not win a referendum if they try - not now.
I think they will be severely punished anyway now. They have put their own interests above the country's. If the Con-LD offer is refused, the economy will tank. It may do so tomorrow anyway because the coalition will be very unstable.
Nick Clegg is playing with fire, I think he has made a huge tactical mistake. The country is now going to be punished, and we will punish him.
Squiffy.
Monday, 10 May 2010
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