Tuesday, 24 September 2013

Ed Miliband Speech: Verdict

Brilliantly delivered march to the left.

At the weekend Ed Miliband was asked if he was a socialist, and he said yes with enthusiasm. I thought it was just something to say in response. Today, we see that he really means it. When he was elected leader he said that New Labour was dead. It's not just dead, it has been hung, drawn and quartered. One Notion Labour is sucking spangles, wearing flares, and singing Slade whilst setting a course for the 1970's.

Ed Miliband grew up in the treasury, but obviously learnt nothing. Firstly, there is the £800m extra bank levy. Anyone knows that due to the necessity to hold enough capital to lend, say 10% at the most optimistic, this will mean £7.2Bn will be taken out of the economy. Really great way to stifle recovery.

Secondly, the energy freeze, whilst populist, is a recipe for disaster. We need so much investment in our energy supply to provide provision for the future and keep the lights on. Why would a company invest when under price controls? They won't. It all sounds like a mini Price and Incomes policy - I thought we'd moved so far away from that nonsense.

Ed, in a long hurrah for the NHS, gave a list of achievements under the last Labour Government then said that he would reverse the market based reforms which achieved them. A fully integrated 'NHS' was mentioned, but how? Just repeal a few laws. So more re-organisation. That'll please them.

Wrap-around childcare was a good policy, but how will it be paid for? There was loose talk of reorganising priorities. For quite an expensive policy, that's some ask!

Obviously, the 'bedroom tax' was ditched, and that was all the mention of welfare reform. Apart from 'we can do better than this'.

No real mention of economic policy. Apart from 'we can do better than this'.

No direct policy about immigration. Apart from 'we can do better than this'. Oh apart from the fact that companies had to come up with an apprenticeship for an under-trained Brit. I'm not sure many companies will do this, so may be that is their immigration policy!

A real march to the left. Michael Foot would be proud. Tony Blair is probably filling in his Tory membership papers right now. Can there be a new SDP?

Anyway, until next week.

Squiffy.


Wednesday, 18 September 2013

Nick Clegg Speech: Verdict

Today was Nick Clegg's speech to the Lib Dem conference.

The task at conference was to look ahead to the next election and prepare some policies for negotiation at a possible hung parliament. It was probably the best conference for Nick Clegg, the muttering about his leadership has gone and there doesn't look like there will be a challenge. Vince Cable made an arse of himself as usual, if I was Nick Clegg I would sack him as soon as possible.

The style of the speech was nothing extraordinary and you could tell where he wanted his applause by how loud his voice would go.

The speech itself was fine, again nothing extraordinary, the usual platitudes and plagues on both your houses. He delivered it well but there were no surprises. The much trailed free school meals for infants was applauded, but no explanation about the inconsistency with the removal of universal benefits for others.

It irked that he was saying that recovery wouldn't have happened without the Lib Dems, and that he set the purpose of Government to be social mobility. I think the Tories have a greater stand out claim for these. The Lib Dem's purpose has been to stop certain policies.

It was notable that many times he mentioned Liberal purposes and traditions, I don't think he mentioned the Social Democrat element once. It shows where he's coming from. Definitely from the Orange book wing. It's this that's making the Cable morose. Although he's saying that he's equi-distant, I do think there is going to be difficulties working with Ed Miliband.

So, the verdict was: ok, nothing special.

Squiffy.


Sunday, 15 September 2013

Ed Miliband in a pickle

The last few weeks have been a bit difficult for the younger Miliband, but mainly of his own making!

Firstly the spat with the unions caused by Falkirk selection process promised Miliband his 'Clause 4' moment when he made his speech saying that things had to change. If Miliband can achieve significant change to Labour's relationship with the unions it would certainly go down as a brilliant coup, alongside Kinnock's 1985 conference ousting of militant.

Since the announcement, though, there appears to have been some backtracking. The members of Falkirk Labour party who were suspended have been reinstated, and the report into the affair has been kept under lock and key. The threats of reduced funding from GMB seems to have shaken the resolve. His speech to the TUC was underwhelming.

If the link was truly reformed, the funding would be cut from the unions as union members were opted in - just like Ed Miliband has suggested. Also, though, the block vote at conference would have to be ditched and the unions would lose their vote in the leadership elections. For this to happen though, these changes would have to be passed by a vote and I think this is unlikely. Each MP voting would be wondering about the funds to their local party and their election warchest. Turkeys don't vote for Christmas. It's for this reason that I think the backtracking will continue. In such circumstances, Ed Miliband will be seen as weak.


Secondly, I was dismayed by Ed Miliband's choice on the Syria vote. In meetings with the PM he was shown intelligence and given access to military opinions. He asked for reassurances from the PM, and was given them. After leaving the meetings he asked for further reassurances and was given them too, he asked for a second vote and was given it. He was given all he wanted and yet when it came to the crunch he still voted against. It was cowardly and he put party unity above principle and I could not be more ashamed of a leader of one of our major parties.

Afterwards it looked like a bit of a victory for Ed Miliband, but I think in retrospect this will be when he seen at his weakest. Not able to muster his troops only able to follow them. Duplicitous and not to be trusted is about the politest thing I could say. I would have hoped for better.


It is against this background that the next few months will be seen. He has to make a stirring speech at the conference, but without any policies and against a recovering economy will he be able to show much vision? The polls have tightened and the Tories are looking more confident and united than they have for some time. It's looking bad, can Ed turn it around?

Squiffy.