Friday, 22 March 2019

The Endgame?

The last few weeks have been very tumultuous in British politics. Theresa May's meaningful votes on her Brexit deal have failed twice. Other plans to leave via motions attached to the votes have not passed, but a 'no deal' motion did pass though this is non binding.

Over the last few days the PM has been to an EU summit and got a extension to the Brexit leave date, moved from March 29th to May 22nd if we pass a third meaningful vote or April 12th if we wish to participate in the next EU elections on account of needing a longer delay.

The PM also made a very bad speech to the country, in which she accused MPs of ignoring their constituents and that most people wanted to get on with Brexit. She was correct to say that most people want it over with but the tone was bad.

The Tory party is ripping itself apart. The Labour party has so many positions that it wouldn't look out of place in the Karma Sutra. No-one has a clue what will happen next.

There will be another meaningful vote in the next week, and probably some indicative votes to see if we need to go for a longer extension. I think that nothing will get a majority. Where will we go from there? Who knows.

It appears that Theresa May has moved slightly to favouring a no deal if her deal cannot pass, but it might be taken out of her hands! She has also enraged so many of her party colleagues that her premiership is hanging by a thread.

I'm of the opinion now that maybe her terrible deal is the best that can be hoped for, that parliament will not allow us to leave the EU if her deal goes down. Although I would prefer no deal, I suspect it won't happen by design only by accident and I'd rather have more certainty. But then again it's unlikely that deal will pass.

These are the strangest of times.

Squiffy.

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