Thursday 28 May 2009

How can Gordon get through this?

This morning The Times is speculating that there should be a push to oust the Prime Minister in the aftermath of the June 4th elections. Guido is reporting that Alan Johnson and David Miliband have campaign teams in place and Mike Smithson is reporting on 12 days remaining for the Premier.

This may all be speculation, but I tend to think that there's no smoke without fire and it looks like there have been some movements amongst the cabinet. If so, this is beginning to look terminal for Gordy.

What can he do? I'm sceptical that he'll be able to stop anything if the momentum starts, but I'm guessing that to stop the momentum before it starts he'll need big sackings after 4th June but before the European results come out on the 7th. Even then, it may not be enough and the likelihood is that there will be a cabinet rebellion.

If anything does happen, then I think there will be a Labour leadership campaign, and all candidates will have to promise an immediate general election - otherwise there would be a huge stink. Expect things to move very quickly and an election in September or October.

We're in for exciting times.

Squiffy.

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