Saturday 4 January 2014

2013 Marks and 2014 Predictions

It's that time of year again when I mark myself against last year's predictions and make some for the next year.

Firstly, last years predictions:

  1. The economy will really start to recover, growing by 1% overall this year. 1 point
  2. Along with the economy, the Government's fortunes will improve slightly. Polls at the end of the year will be around 38% Labour, 34% Tory, 12% LibDem, 8% UKIP. Pretty close. 1 point.
  3. Chris Huhne will not go to prison, but he will not return to Government either. 0 points.
  4. Fernando Alonso will win the World Championship, from Sebastien Vettel. 0 points.
  5. Lewis Hamilton will win at least one race this year in his new Mercedes. Spot on, 1 point.
  6. Andrew Mitchell will be exonerated of 'plebgate' and the officer who made the allegations will be found out. Mr Mitchell will return to Government in a mini reshuffle in the late summer. 1/2 point.
  7. Kate Middleton's baby will be a girl and will carry the name of Elizabeth and Diana in some order. 0 points.
  8. There will be a monetary scandal involving a cabinet minister forcing them to resign. 0 points.
  9. David Miliband will agree to join the Labour front bench. 0 points.
  10. The Eurozone will have a fresh crisis in September when everyone is convinced the problems have been solved. 0 points.

Overall, 3.5 points out of 10. Not very good. Oh well, maybe 2014 will be better!

And now for this year's predictions:

  1. The economy will grow by 2.5% to 3% this year.
  2. The opinion polls will end the year at 36% Tory, 35% Labour, 12% LibDem, 10% UKIP.
  3. The European elections will give Labour the lead, UKIP 2nd (just behind), Tories 3rd and LibDems 4th.
  4. Lewis Hamilton will win the F1 World Championship.
  5. The Ferrari power plant will be bad, leading to Alonso ditching them and joining McLaren for 2015.
  6. Tony Blair will speak out against Ed Miliband's leadership.
  7. Vince Cable will resign or be sacked (hopefully).
  8. Peter Mandelson will do Strictly.
  9. Scotland will vote against independence.
  10. Gordon Brown will announce he's leaving parliament in 2015.

Let's see how I do this year,

Squiffy

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