BoJo MoJo

It's been just over a week since Boris Johnson was elected to be leader of the Conservative Party and  hence the Prime Minister. I voted for him with a little trepidation, but so far I have been extremely happy with how things are going.

He hit the ground running and had his cabinet in place extremely quickly. I'm really happy with the cabinet apart from the sacking of Penny Mordaunt - who I rate highly. I would have kept her in place, but I'm happy with the rest of the choices. It needed to have a top heavy pro-Brexit bias so there is no chance of resignations destabilising the Government at a later date, when it gets sticky.

The appointment which sticks out though is obviously Dominic Cummings. The man who ran the Vote Leave campaign has shown he can run a strategy to success and that is what is needed now. In many ways it is the take over of Government by the Vote Leave operation. It feels like it should have been done three years ago, but better late than never.

The Brexit strategy has been spot on since then. Prepare for no-deal and say to the EU "come back to us when you are ready to re-open the withdrawal agreement, otherwise we leave on 31st Oct". I've been impressed by the unified appearance of the cabinet, especially after the leaky divided May cabinet. The new Prime Minister hasn't really put a foot wrong yet, surprisingly. It's a breath of fresh air. The May Government was so depressing, nothing was being done, it now seems like we have an active Government again.

I think the EU will come back with something when they realise that the UK is serious about leaving without a deal. But I feel their offer will not be enough and we will have to leave anyway. But whether our parliament and the speaker finds a ruse to somehow force us not to leave is still open. The period just after parliament comes back is key. But again the Government is impressive, they say "if MPs find archaic ways to try to stop Brexit, then the Government will play the game likewise".

The next few months are going to be absolutely fascinating, but I think it's now a 60% chance we will leave on October 31st. It's also possible there be a snap election. This is probably going to be the most interesting three months in politics in my lifetime.

Squiffy.